February 22, 2021 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

It turned out to be a pretty nice afternoon around the area after all. Rain was dominant over the Tri-Cities until around noon, then things got better as it went along! We’re seeing a good supply of sunshine behind the cold front, and more of that is to come in today’s Tri-Cities Weather Blog forecast!

Other than some fog tonight, fantastic weather is coming up for most of the rest of the week. There is a small chance of rain at a couple points as a weak cold front moves through, but there’s nothing major coming around until at least Friday. Here’s the outlook:

  • Tonight-Partly cloudy, with fog in spots. Low 32.
  • Tuesday-Becoming mostly sunny. High 58.
  • Tuesday night-Partly cloudy, low 35.
  • Wednesday-Mostly sunny and warm. High 64. Rain is possible Wednesday night.
  • Thursday-A small chance of rain early in the day, otherwise partly cloudy. High 55.
  • Friday-Partly to mostly cloudy with some scattered showers. Highs near 50.

As you can see, there’s not much happening for us weather wise for a while. There’s a weak cold front that will arrive here Wednesday evening. Due to that, we may see a few rain showers Wednesday night and perhaps early Thursday. Otherwise, most of Thursday should be dry.

By Friday, low pressure in Texas and the Gulf of Mexico gets organized, and will bring more moisture in. So it appears scattered showers will be happening to finish out the week.

Our average high is 52 this time of year, and our average low is 30. So we’ll be well above that through Wednesday, and near there for the rest of the week.

That’s it from here…I hope you enjoy the next couple days, because the cold isn’t over just yet!

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February 21, 2021 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

This has been the warmest day this weekend, but even warmer temperatures are coming toward the middle of this week. Of course, we have some rain to get through first. Welcome to the Tri-Cities Weather Blog forecast through Thursday!

Saturday was a beautiful sunny day, but a little bit cool. Today has been a day near average with abundant sunshine. We’ll have clouds moving in tonight, and temperatures will drop to around 32 degrees. Those clouds bring rain on Monday, but are gone by Tuesday. Here’s the outlook for this week:

  • Monday-A mix of rain and snow early, changing to all rain. High 51.
  • Monday night-Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows near 30.
  • Tuesday-Becoming mostly sunny. High 56.
  • Wednesday-Mostly sunny and warm. High 63.
  • Thursday-Partly cloudy with a small chance of rain. High 53.

By far, the biggest chance of rain is Monday as a cold front moves through. In many areas, rain will start out as snow or a mix of rain and snow. Before long, most of us will see that change over to rain during the day. Clouds move out Monday night.

Temperatures climb to well above normal for the middle of the week, with a sunny day developing on Tuesday and another one on Wednesday. We’ll have temperatures in the mid-to-upper 50s on Tuesday, and into the 60s on Wednesday…beautiful weather!

Then on Thursday, another cold front moves in. It appears to be weaker than its predecessor, so I’m only thinking we’ll see a few extra clouds and a small chance of rain on Thursday. After the front, dry weather is likely to return on Friday.

Thanks for checking here for the forecast. Have a great week!

February 19, 2021 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

While it’s been a cold day today, the snow has stopped. Other than some flurries tonight, we won’t see much frozen anything falling from the sky this weekend, and for most of us it’s not likely on Monday. Welcome to the Tri-Cities Weather Blog forecast for this weekend!

The sun is out as we speak in Blountville, as I type this at 5:15 PM. This is a good thing! We’ll see the sun rather frequently this weekend, before our next rain chances come in Sunday night and Monday. Here’s the outlook:

  • Tonight-Partly cloudy with some flurries. Lows near 20.
  • Saturday-Decreasing clouds. Highs near 40.
  • Saturday night-Mostly clear and cold. Low 22.
  • Sunday-Partly to mostly sunny. Highs near 50.
  • Monday-Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. High 47.
  • Tuesday-Becoming partly cloudy. High 54.

High pressure is moving in, so once we get the pesky flurries away from us tonight, we should have nice weather for a little while, albeit a little bit cool on Saturday. We should be right at our average on Sunday with dry weather as well.

A cold front brings clouds into our area Sunday night, as well as some rain showers. Of course, the higher up in elevation you are, the more likely you’ll get some frozen precipitation at the beginning of this. For most of us, though, this will be a rain event starting Sunday night and through most of Monday.

After that, high pressure returns, and this one won’t bring terribly cold weather in with it. We’ll be right at our average or a little above that on Tuesday.

That’s all there is to it! I hope you get out and have a fantastic weekend!

February 18, 2021 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

Thursday started off with a lot of slush for many of us, as snow fell and had rain fall on top of that. Most of that is gone now, thanks to a day of scattered showers. We’ll have a good chance for snow showers tonight and tomorrow before we clear up for the weekend. Welcome to the Tri-Cities Weather Blog forecast for tonight through Sunday!

Straight to the outlook we go…

  • Tonight-Clouds and fog with some light rain/drizzle changing to light snow/flurries. Low 32.
  • Friday-Cloudy, windy and cold. Snow showers or flurries at times. High 38.
  • Friday night-Decreasing clouds. Low 18.
  • Saturday-Mostly sunny. Highs near 40.
  • Sunday-Partly cloudy. Highs near 50.

The system that brought the slush this morning is moving on out of here. In its place will be some moisture coming around that will be the drizzle and snow flurries or showers tonight into tomorrow. That will be well behind the front, but also leave as it does. I’m not expecting much accumulation through tomorrow.

Once the low pressure and what’s left of it leaves, dry weather and sunshine take it’s place. That high pressure, though, brings cold weather tomorrow night and Saturday. We warm up to near average on Sunday for the first time in a few days.

The next thing on the way will be a new storm system coming in early next week, which could bring chances of rain or snow as soon as Sunday evening. I’ll have more on that as we get closer to it. Have a great Friday!

February 17, 2021 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

There are moments that occur in life that you just know are going to simultaneously intriguing, aggravating, and difficult all at the same time. When it comes to forecasting winter weather that’s going to change from one precipitation type to another multiple times, that’s something that is very difficult to get right, aggravating to get wrong, and intriguing to learn how what happened the way it did. That’s what’s going on with tonight’s Tri-Cities Weather Blog forecast!

I’ll be the first to tell you that timing of all this is going to be rather difficult to handle. I can pretty much figure out when precipitation will start and stop, but all the changes are the hard part. So, here’s what I think will happen, and come tomorrow we’ll glance at this outlook and see what’s what:

  • Tonight-Cloudy skies, light snow developing. May mix with rain or sleet. Low 33. 0-3 inches of snow possible in the Tri-Cities overnight.
  • Thursday-Light snow changes to rain early in the day. Rain could be heavy at times. High 45.
  • Thursday night-Rain showers change over to snow, amounting to an inch more accumulation at most. Lows near 30.
  • Friday-Cloudy, windy and cold with snow flurries or snow showers. High 37, but dropping.
  • Saturday-Partly to mostly sunny. Highs near 40.
  • Sunday-Mostly sunny. Highs near 50.

All of this is happening thanks to two systems, really. The first is low pressure that is currently in the Gulf of Mexico south of Louisiana. It’s going to go through the South and up the coast of the Carolinas in the coming days, bringing another run of crazy weather.

This evening should be dry for the most part, so if you need to go out and get things to prepare, you can do it. After about 10 PM or so, things should start, maybe as light rain. Then, it’ll change from that to a mix of rain and snow to all snow pretty quickly. We could see half an inch of snow to up to 3 inches in spots by morning. That entirely depends on elevation, how much rain and/or sleet mixes in with the snow, and the intensity of the snow once it does get started. A lot of that depends on temperatures, so it’s a best bet that if you’re in the higher elevations, there will be more snow.

Sometime tomorrow morning, the snow will change over to rain. With temperatures today nearly 5 degrees warmer than anticipated, the initial change to snow and then the change to rain during the day could very well make the duration of snow (and thus the final amount) smaller. That’s why I put 0 to 3 inches in the outlook. Because any of the above could happen. Once things change over to rain tomorrow, things should be fine from a travel standpoint after an initial slushy period.

This mess changes from rain back to snow tomorrow night, but the system should be moving on before it gets cold enough to give us too much snow accumulation. I figure another inch of snow by Friday morning will be about it, and we might not even see that much. Then, Friday will be a cloudy, windy, raw day with temperatures dropping through the 30s in the afternoon.

Thankfully, we start drying out and warming up on Saturday. It’ll still be a chilly day with highs near 40, but warm enough to melt whatever we’re left with, or at least dry it up. Sunday looks rain free as of now, as we warm up in the afternoon to near 50 degrees.

That’s the extent of it…and took a lot of explanation! All of this is dependent on the temperature not only at the ground, but up to the first 5,000 feet from it. That’s a very difficult thing to accomplish, so that’s my final try for this event. If we wake up to a foot of snow or nothing, I won’t be terribly shocked. That said, I’m taking my work stuff home, just in case I need a work from home day tomorrow.

Thanks for checking here for the forecast, as complicated as it is! Be safe over the next day or so, and I’ll have a new forecast tomorrow afternoon!