August 30, 2021 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

It’s been rough weather-wise for a lot of people across the Gulf Coast the past few days because of Hurricane Ida. It may take a while before we know all the awful stories from down there. Meanwhile, what’s left of Ida will be headed our way the next couple days, bringing heavy rain and gusty winds with storms that arrive starting tomorrow.

Here’s the outlook for the next few days before the discussion:

  • Tonight-Mostly cloudy. A couple showers this evening. Low 68.
  • Tuesday-Flash Flood Watch from 8 AM to Wednesday afternoon. Cloudy and windy with scattered showers and storms. Heavy rain is possible at times. Highs near 80.
  • Tuesday night-Rain and thunderstorms, with windy conditions. Low 68.
  • Wednesday-Rain and thunderstorms are likely, heavy rain still possible. Windy, with a high of 75.
  • Thursday-A small chance of rain, then becoming mostly sunny. High 78.

Ida is now officially a Tropical Depression, with sustained winds a fraction of what they once were. That said, occasional gusts are what could cause problems anywhere from Mississippi (where the center of the storm is now), to northwest Alabama into Tennessee through tomorrow. Ida will be closest to us early Wednesday morning, on its way to West Virginia by Wednesday afternoon, and off the New Jersey coast or thereabouts by the end of Thursday.

This storm is going to continue bringing a lot of rain. For that reason, the Flash Flood Watch I mentioned in the outlook is up for all of us starting at 8 tomorrow morning. It continues until 2 PM Wednesday if it’s not extended. Here in the Tri-Cities, 1-2, maybe three inches of rain are possible. We will be a bit east of the track, which is good news. Those closer might get rainfall close to 5 inches before it’s all over. Flooding is definitely possible.

This is the remnant of a tropical system, so wind will be gusty as well. I’m not implying that we’ll see hurricane (74mph) or even Tropical Storm (39mph) force winds for a sustained period with this. But inside individual storms, gusts could easily get over 40 and maybe close to 70 for short periods of time. I’ll be watching all the storms as they roll in during the next two days just in case something intense happens.

As for tornadoes, they cannot be ruled out with this storm. Hurricanes spawn tornadoes quite often, but they’re not typically the huge monster tornadoes. I’ve seen a few EF3 storms with landfalling tropical systems, but usually there’s not enough in a hurricane’s environment to keep tornadoes strong and on the ground for long. That said, spin-up tornadoes are possible, and even those could do some damage. As mentioned above, I’ll be around between tomorrow and Wednesday and keep track of what happens.

Thankfully, this is a two-day event. By the time we hit Thursday, we’ll be done with it and we’ll have more comfortable temperatures! While we might not see the mid 80s again through Thursday, it is highly likely that with the storm nearby, we won’t warm up past 80 through Thursday, especially after tomorrow. So we get a break from the heat for a while, at least!

Thanks for checking here for the forecast! Stay tuned, and I’ll update things as I can in the coming days. Have a great Tuesday!

August 27, 2021 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

The sunny and hot weather will continue for the next few days, but a change is possible as we get into next week. Welcome to the Tri-Cities Weather Blog forecast for this weekend!

A dome of high pressure is locked in over us, and generally when that happens, a tropical storm is the only thing that will change the situation. That may well happen, as Tropical Storm Ida heads for landfall along the Gulf Coast as a hurricane early next week. It’ll be a day or two after that before storms from it will get here after that, though. Here’s the outlook to fill the time before that:

  • Tonight-Partly cloudy, after a couple evening storms depart. Low 68.
  • Saturday-Mostly sunny. Pop-up showers and storms are possible in the afternoon. High 92.
  • Sunday-Sunny and hot, a small chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon. High 93.
  • Monday-Mostly sunny, with a small chance of rain or a thunderstorm. High 92.

The blocking pattern we have going on will keep fronts from coming in, so sunny and hot weather with stray showers and storms in the afternoon being our forecast with low 90s for temperatures through Monday.

What will be Hurricane Ida likely makes landfall along the Gulf Coast Monday morning. It could be a category 2 or 3 storm, which would not be good for anyone where the storm hits. That system pushes the high pressure out of the way, bringing a good chance of rain and thunderstorms Tuesday and Wednesday at least.

Those storms will not bring as much intensity as the Gulf Coast will see, because hurricanes typically lose the intensity over land that they typically gain over the hot water in the Gulf of Mexico. So, more likely what will see is rain and storms moving into the area, perhaps Tuesday and Wednesday at this point. Individual storms might bring damaging wind gusts, but most likely nothing like the sustained winds in triple digits that the hurricane normally brings to the coast.

One thing that the storm will do is provide us with a good supply of cloud cover. So as we get to the middle of next week, the start of September might have cooler temperatures because of the clouds and rain. There’s a lot of time before all of this, so make sure to check for my forecast on Sunday afternoon for more details.

Meanwhile, we’ll be at the Appalachian Fair with two booths representing all of our stations in commercial building number 1! It’s the one at the top of the hill, and it’s got air conditioning! So take a break from the heat outdoors and say hello to us! We’ll be there through 8 PM Friday and Saturday afternoon until 8 in the evening as well. Have a great weekend!

August 25, 2021 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

As I finish off my sixth National Weather Association annual meeting, and the second virtual one, I feel as recharged about the weather as I ever have! I have a lot of ideas for new things to produce in the coming days and weeks, so we’ll see how all that goes.

The weather out there is hot, with some pop-up showers and storms around to cool things off for some, but not many. While it’s 94 degrees as of 5:30 PM at the airport, rain is falling just a few miles to the east! That kind of scenario will be the case in the coming days, but not likely in that type of distribution. For some basics, here’s the outlook through the weekend:

  • Tonight-Partly cloudy, a couple showers or storms in the evening, patchy morning fog. Low 68.
  • Thursday-Mostly sunny, some pop-up showers and storms possible in the afternoon. High 92.
  • Thursday night-Partly cloudy, with a few evening showers and storms lingering. Low 67.
  • Friday-Mostly sunny, a slight chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 91.
  • Saturday-Mostly sunny with a small chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 91.
  • Sunday-Mostly sunny, maybe an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 92.

The thing about this forecast, is it’s pretty much the same! Our temperatures will be about the same each day, and the chance of rain and storms is about the same. There’s a lot of research going on about the formation of these storms that will hopefully bring us a way to predict where they’re going to happen and when on a more accurate basis than “maybe in the mountains” or “late in the afternoon.” I’m looking at the data on that very closely for sure!

Until the day comes when I’m more able to see where these things are going to pop up two, four, or six hours ahead of time, I have to be a bit more vague for now. Just be aware, as most around here are this time of year, that storms pop up in the afternoon and you need to take action to be safe from lightning, even if it’s not raining! That goes for sporting events and going to the fair, too.

When it doesn’t rain, heat will be an issue. It’s best to do things either early in the day or late in the day to decrease your chances of not having issues with said heat in the coming days. We’ll have temperatures getting into the 90s each afternoon all the way through the weekend.

Speaking of the fair, Appalachian Fair time is here! WHCB, 96.3 The Possum, 97.3 Love FM, and 93.7 Goat FM all have a presence at two booths at the Fair in commercial building #1! I’ll be there on Saturday afternoon in the WHCB booth. Stop by and say hello during the afternoons through Saturday!

August 24, 2021 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

Welcome to the Tri-Cities Weather Blog for today! Lots of things are going on, but I wanted to make sure to get a blog ready for today. So here’s the forecast through Saturday, outlook first!

  • Tonight-Partly cloudy. low 68.
  • Wednesday-Mostly sunny, a slight chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 93.
  • Wednesday night-Partly cloudy, a stray evening shower or thunderstorm. Low 68.
  • Thursday-Mostly sunny with some scattered showers and storms possible. High 91.
  • Friday-Mostly sunny, a slight chance of rain or a thunderstorm in the afternoon. High 91.
  • Saturday-Sunny and hot, with a small chance of rain late. High 92.

We’re at the western side of high pressure, which means winds are tending to come from warmer places to our southwest. Thanks to that, we’re going to have warmer temperatures, and it’s likely each afternoon will top out over the 90 degree mark every day into the weekend.

There aren’t any fronts or low pressure systems near, but it does look like a small chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm exists each day through Saturday. The best chance of that right now looks to be Thursday afternoon, as those storms look to be more numerous. Otherwise, only a stray pop-up shower or thunderstorm is possible.

The weather will be hot, so if you’re going to the Appalachian Fair or anywhere else outdoors for an extended period in the hottest part of the day (late afternoon, generally), make sure to take all the precautions to stay cool while you’re out! If possible, anything you need to do outside should be moved to later or earlier in the day if possible.

As for the Fair, all of our stations are represented in Commercial Building #1 in our two booths! We hope you’ll stop by and say hello each afternoon through Saturday!

August 23, 2021 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

Hot weather generally means mostly calm weather as well. Thanks to that, the weather office has been filled with weather talk since yesterday. That said, if you’re headed for the Appalachian Fair this week, prepare for hot weather! Welcome to the Tri-Cities Weather Blog forecast for tonight through Friday!

I hope you’ll stop by our booths at the Appalachian Fair in commercial building #1 this week! We’ll be there from the mid-afternoon into the evening, and we’d love to see you there! The WHCB booth is on one side, partnered with Love FM and Truth 104. 96.3 The Possum and 93.7 GOAT FM are together on the other side! We’d love to see you at either booth or both of them at the Fair!

Weather-wise, this is the week of the annual National Weather Association meeting. I normally attend those, and wanted to go this year, but current COVID issues kept me from hauling myself to Tulsa, Oklahoma, this week. It’s pretty sad, because I have friends there and was looking forward to seeing their part of the country! That said, the daytime parts of the meeting are done virtually, which certainly helps!

Now, let’s get to the forecast…here’s the outlook!

  • Tonight-Partly cloudy, some morning fog in spots. Low 65.
  • Tuesday-Sunny and hot. High 92.
  • Tuesday night-Partly cloudy, low 65.
  • Wednesday-Mostly sunny, a small chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 93.
  • Thursday-Mostly sunny, a few pop-up showers and storms possible late. High 92.
  • Friday-Partly to mostly sunny with a small chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Highs near 90.

Frankly, there’s not a whole lot to talk about in the forecast! The center of a dome of high pressure will be almost on top of us for the next few days, allowing our days to heat up quite efficiently, while suppressing rain chances for the most part. But as it is with any summer day around here, the mountains will help make there always be a chance of a late afternoon shower or thunderstorm.

I think Tuesday looks most likely to stay dry, and then Wednesday may feature storms only in the mountains. Thursday’s chance of rain at this point will include everyone…but at a small percentage, we’ll see some get rain, but most won’t. And it could be a rather sharp difference between where you are and a mile or two away!

We’ll have lows this week in the mid-to-upper 60s, and our highs will be at or above 90 each day this week. It looks right now that the hottest days will be Wednesday and Thursday, as highs pop up into the low 90s.

Thanks for checking here for the forecast! Have a great Tuesday!