Archive for the ‘Winter’ Category

March 14, 2017 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

March 14, 2017 Comments off

There’s snow flying around this afternoon here in the Tri-Cities, but it’s nothing near what’s happening not all that far away! We’ll see the light snow and flurries taper off by tomorrow afternoon, but then the cold air makes the news. Welcome to the Tri-Cities Weather Blog forecast for tonight through Sunday!

The cold spot right now around the area, at least as I’m typing this, is Tazewell, Virginia, at 23 degrees. The warm spot around our area is Knoxville at 35. That’s it! Winter has returned, but not with much snowfall, and we haven’t seen all season what they’re getting in Pennsylvania and New York right now! More on that in a moment, here’s the outlook:

  • Tonight-Cloudy and cold, flurries and windy. Low 18.
  • Wednesday-Cloudy with flurries to start, partly cloudy and windy late. High 35.
  • Wednesday night-Partly cloudy and cold again. Low 18.
  • Thursday-Mostly sunny. High 44.
  • Friday-Increasing clouds, a few scattered afternoon rain showers. High 54.
  • Saturday-Rain likely early, otherwise mostly cloudy. High 57.
  • Sunday-Decreasing clouds and cooler. High 48.

I’ve seen reports today of a foot of snow in the far northeastern tip of West Virginia, northern New Jersey, and close to a foot and a half in parts of New York and Connecticut. It seems like winter just flipped a switch, especially up that way!

Flurries and light snow showers will be all we see here, and that should end by early afternoon tomorrow. The sky will try to clear some during the day, but we will be lucky to be above freezing for too long tomorrow.

Thursday looks like a dry day and a little warmer, but still way below average. We’ll get closer to our average temperature (around 58 degrees) on Friday as a cold front approaches. That will bring rain as soon as Friday afternoon, but the best bet for rain showers will be Friday night and early Saturday.

As that front gets out of here, the second half of the weekend will be cool and dry. We might even see a little sunshine late on Sunday!

Thanks for checking here for the forecast! Temperature permitting, I’ll be at Sullivan South for their game against Happy Valley on Thursday afternoon. All the action can be heard on 870 AM, 100.7 FM, and the new 96.3 FM starting a little before 5 PM on Thursday. I hope you’ll be tuned in!

Categories: Daily Forecast, Winter

March 11, 2017 #TriCitiesWx Forecast Update

March 11, 2017 Comments off

As promised, here’s the update to the forecast, and while there will still be snow, there won’t be much of it. Low pressure that was supposed to be near Georgia and the Carolinas is in the Gulf of Mexico and near Florida.

That shift in track means that the heavier precipitation will also be south of us. Snow has been reported in Nashville today, with a mix of rain and snow just reported in Huntsville, Alabama.

All of that means that if we get one inch of snow with this, we’ll be either in the mountains or extremely lucky. There just won’t be enough moisture up here to get any more than that. In the mountains, though, a few inches of snow may be possible, with more the farther south you go.

From here, all eyes move to Monday. An Alberta Clipper is on its way, and while the system to our south stalls a bit, that system will come in quicker from the northwest. We may see some light snow early Monday, but that’ll change to rain as the front approaches.

That front sweeps everything out of here on Tuesday, and behind it will be a pretty big cold snap. The last few days of next week looks to have temperatures below normal thanks to high pressure over us.

Don’t forget to set your clocks ahead one hour tonight! I’ll be up making sure the radio stations keep up with that before I get some sleep tonight. Daylight Saving Time is about to begin, which means daylight will end one hour later!

I’ll have another forecast tomorrow afternoon, with the latest on the early week system  and the cold weather late in the week. Have a blessed Sunday!

Categories: Daily Forecast, Winter

March 10, 2017 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

March 10, 2017 Comments off

Winds are gusty, but it’s sunny and dry around the area this afternoon. Clouds and rain, eventually changing to snow, are all in the forecast through tomorrow night, though. Here’s the Tri-Cities Weather Blog forecast for that and all the way through what may be another snow event on Tuesday.

It’s a cool day out, with all that wind around. Temperatures in the southwest Virginia mountains are in the upper 30’s, with everyone else in the Tri-Cities in the 40’s. Knoxville areas are chiming in at around the low 50’s this afternoon, but changes are coming our way soon for sure. Here’s the outlook;

  • Tonight-Increasing clouds. Low 24.
  • Saturday-Mostly cloudy with rain showers, then changing to snow showers late. High 40.
  • Saturday night-Snow showers likely. 1-3″ possible in the Tri-Cities, more in the mountains. Low 27.
  • Sunday-Morning snow showers, becoming partly cloudy late. High 42.
  • Monday-Mostly cloudy, a few rain showers possible late. High 45.
  • Tuesday-Cloudy with rain showers changing to snow showers. High 43.

We haven’t seen much of winter, but it’s going to make at least a couple good runs at it in the coming days. Nothing of note will happen tonight through early Saturday, though.

During the day Saturday, rain showers will start developing. Temperatures will start cooling late in the afternoon, causing rain to mix with and change to snow. That snow will continue through early Sunday morning.

As mentioned in the outlook, it looks right now like the Tri-Cities should see around 1-3 inches of snow through Sunday morning. All of our warm weather is keeping the ground rather warm as well, so a lot of the initial snow will melt once it hits the ground. Still, it looks like higher amounts will be possible south of the Tri-Cities area and near the mountains. Southwest Virginia might not see as much with this as it looks right now. I’ll post a Saturday update as soon as I can get to it tomorrow.

After that, we get a break for Sunday afternoon through much of Monday. Rain returns Monday night, then will change to snow Monday. More chances for snow arrive on Tuesday as we’ll cool down for things to change over. It’s too early to tell with that system, and I’ll definitely have an answer Sunday, but two inches of snow is not out of the question at all for Tuesday night through early Wednesday.

As for the rest of the week, we’ll turn cold, with highs in the 30’s and lows in the teens for a couple days, but we’ll definitely warm back up toward next weekend.

It’s still technically winter for a couple more weeks, as Spring doesn’t start until the 20th. Even then, cold snaps are possible all the way into April before we get warm and stay that way.

I’ll have a special weekend forecast tomorrow, so keep an eye out for that. Have a great weekend!

Categories: Daily Forecast, Winter

March 9, 2017 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

March 9, 2017 Comments off

It’s a word I haven’t had to utter too many times this winter, but it’s coming back to us for one more run as we head into the weekend. It’s called snow. And it could arrive in decent amounts to make time changing difficult if you have to get out early Sunday morning, too! Welcome to the Tri-Cities Weather Blog forecast for tonight and the weekend!

Get a snack and a drink, because this one’s going to take a while to unpack. There’s a lot of uncertainty to the forecast, but the certain part of it is that while some of us are wearing shorts and a t-shirt out this afternoon, we might be shoveling driveways come Sunday. Here’s the outlook first.

  • Tonight-Increasing clouds, with scattered showers late. low 42.
  • Friday-Mostly cloudy, with rain showers mainly early. High 54.
  • Friday night-Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 23.
  • Saturday-Mostly cloudy. Rain and/or snow developing late, with snow overnight. Highs near 40.
  • Sunday-Cloudy with snow showers early. High 38.
  • Monday-Partly to mostly cloudy, maybe some rain or snow (or both) late. High 42.

We stand on one of those paradoxes of late winter. We’ve had a warm winter to be sure, but the cold season wants to get in one more punch at least. A cold front will move through tonight, bringing us rain showers through the early part of the day tomorrow. All of this will be unfrozen, just plain rain.

Friday will be dry after some early rain, and we’ll stay dry through a lot of Saturday. Late in the day, systems from the northwest and southwest will drift in, and then the fun begins.

Everything Saturday afternoon should start as rain for much of us except the mountains. We’ll quickly drop to below freezing, though, which will relegate us all into snow territory. We’ll have snow showers for much of the overnight hours, where most of the snow will be falling before we get to Sunday morning.

Snow showers will continue Sunday early on, before we get a break. That break should keep us rain or snow free until late Monday, when another front brings new chances of precipitation.

I know what you’re thinking. “How much snow are we going to get?” Well, to continue the old TV show puns, that’s the $64,000 question. The good thing about the warmth we’ve seen is that the ground is reasonably warm as well. So that’s surely going to dampen snowfall amounts this weekend.

Computer models are supposed to account for that, and it’s a weakness in some of them. I’ve looked at the three major ones, and they all agree that here in the Tri-Cities we could get anything from one inch of snow to six. Nice range, isn’t it? Goes from “eh, that’s not much” to a reasonably big deal.

It also appears that (excluding the mountains) the bigger numbers will happen in Tennessee this time, with smaller totals in southwest Virginia. Western North Carolina might see 8 inches of snow or more, since it’ll start earlier there, and it hasn’t been as warm. The National Weather Service is painting the most of the snow north of Interstate 40, with mostly rain south of that, or at least less snow.

After those 530 words of analysis, here’s my thinking on the matter right now. Be prepared for 1-3 inches of snow in the Tri-Cities through Sunday. I’d say at least 6 inches is likely in the North Carolina mountains, but as for southwest Virginia, 1-2″ looks like the best bet at this point.

Hopefully by next winter I’ll have maps for all of this. I’m definitely working on it! That said, I’ll have a new forecast tomorrow afternoon with and update, and then I’ll likely do another forecast Saturday at some point with a final forecast during the rain at the beginning or just as flakes start flying.

If you have to go on-location do change clocks for Daylight Saving Time Sunday morning, it might be best to just spend the night there. That’ll be right in the middle of the worst of it, and if the worst of it is more than a few inches, travel might be difficult. Technology will be your friend, for sure, and you’ve got tomorrow to work on it!

Thanks for checking here for the details of the crazy weather situation. I’ll have an update tomorrow!

Categories: Daily Forecast, Winter

March 8, 2017 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

March 8, 2017 Comments off

Over the next two months or so, we might have a good number of short forecasts coming your way from this blog. Baseball season is beginning, and my third season of play-by-play for the Sullivan South Rebels will be here on Monday. So, from time to time we’ll go outlook-only on the blog, in all honesty just to get me out of here in time to get to the ballpark to prepare! So keep that in mind, and I’ll do my best to get full forecasts on here each day.

That said, I’ll do today in similar fashion, but we’re going to have interesting weather this weekend, so a short discussion will ensue after the outlook:

  • Tonight-Mostly clear. Low near 30.
  • Thursday-Partly cloudy. Highs near 70.
  • Thursday night-Increasing clouds, with rain developing. Low 45.
  • Friday-Mostly cloudy, with scattered showers. High 55.
  • Saturday-Partly cloudy, a rain shower or two late. High 47.
  • Sunday-Cloudy with scattered snow showers. High 38.

Yes, that’s a 32 degree temperature difference between Thursday and Sunday. THAT is what warrants an explanation!

Our first cold front will move through here by Friday morning, dropping our temperatures some during the day. Saturday will be cool in response, but we won’t have time to warm up much before a new system arrives on Saturday night.

That system will likely bring snow in here. It’s too early to talk about how much, but with warm ground around much of the area thanks to the warm temperatures, any computer models will likely overshoot what we actually get. That’s because much of the snow will melt when it hits the ground!

I’ll keep an eye out on the situation, but there’s a chance that being out late Saturday night may be a bad idea. Things will become clearer tomorrow and definitely Friday, so watch for updates then!

Categories: Daily Forecast, Winter
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