Interesting things are afoot weather wise this weekend, with all forms of winter precipitation in play at this point starting Saturday night through Monday. While I think a lot of it will be snow and that might cause problems especially on Sunday, things look a lot better than they did yesterday. Here’s the update!
First of all, let’s get the outlook out there and then I’ll discuss things further below that.
- Tonight-Partly cloudy. low 28.
- Saturday-Partly to mostly cloudy, a small chance of rain late. High 44.
- Saturday night-Mostly cloudy, light rain changes to snow. Low 32.
- Sunday-Snow likely, could mix with ice or rain at times. High 38.
- Monday-Cloudy with scattered showers. High 37.
- Tuesday-Partly to mostly sunny. high 42.
We’re north of any rain right now, which is definitely a good thing. We’ll have dry weather tonight and that will follow up through most of tomorrow. Light rain is how this whole thing should start either late tomorrow afternoon or Saturday evening.
From there, things get a little more sticky than it looked yesterday. What I know for sure is that the rain will change to snow overnight into Sunday morning. Also what hasn’t changed is that there’s still a good chance of accumulating snow on Sunday. All of these things are almost definite at this point.
What’s changed is the temperatures on Sunday. A lot of the computer models are confused. Some keep temperatures in the 30s with snow all day Sunday, while a few bring in enough warmth to mix the snow with rain or ice from time to time. Any mixing of precipitation types will definitely diminish our final snow total by the time the snow stops late Monday.
So, I’ve dropped my prediction, but only slightly as far as snowfall is concerned Saturday night through Monday. Right now, the Tri-Cities should end up at 3-5 inches of snow by the end of the whole thing. Up in the mountains (where Winter Storm Warnings are up right now), there could be lots more than that since it should stay all snow up there. Higher elevations could get up to a foot of snow before it’s all said and done. There are possible higher amounts near Asheville, too.
The confidence in this forecast, I have to say, is minimal. Hopefully the next computer runs will be a bit clearer, and I’ll get on the blog tomorrow to bring a new forecast.
So what to do for now? Prepare for the worst. What do you need if we get 6-8 inches of snow? Make a list and go get it by Saturday evening, then be where you’re going to be before snow starts piling up. That way you’ll be ready, whether we get flurries or half a foot of snow or more.
Also, stay tuned to the blog and follow me on Twitter @wxmc. I’ll have updates here before the storm, most updates will be on Twitter during it, and then a final snow report will be posted here after things are all said and done.
More updates are forthcoming throughout the weekend!