Home > Daily Forecast, Winter > March 9, 2017 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

March 9, 2017 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

March 9, 2017

It’s a word I haven’t had to utter too many times this winter, but it’s coming back to us for one more run as we head into the weekend. It’s called snow. And it could arrive in decent amounts to make time changing difficult if you have to get out early Sunday morning, too! Welcome to the Tri-Cities Weather Blog forecast for tonight and the weekend!

Get a snack and a drink, because this one’s going to take a while to unpack. There’s a lot of uncertainty to the forecast, but the certain part of it is that while some of us are wearing shorts and a t-shirt out this afternoon, we might be shoveling driveways come Sunday. Here’s the outlook first.

  • Tonight-Increasing clouds, with scattered showers late. low 42.
  • Friday-Mostly cloudy, with rain showers mainly early. High 54.
  • Friday night-Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 23.
  • Saturday-Mostly cloudy. Rain and/or snow developing late, with snow overnight. Highs near 40.
  • Sunday-Cloudy with snow showers early. High 38.
  • Monday-Partly to mostly cloudy, maybe some rain or snow (or both) late. High 42.

We stand on one of those paradoxes of late winter. We’ve had a warm winter to be sure, but the cold season wants to get in one more punch at least. A cold front will move through tonight, bringing us rain showers through the early part of the day tomorrow. All of this will be unfrozen, just plain rain.

Friday will be dry after some early rain, and we’ll stay dry through a lot of Saturday. Late in the day, systems from the northwest and southwest will drift in, and then the fun begins.

Everything Saturday afternoon should start as rain for much of us except the mountains. We’ll quickly drop to below freezing, though, which will relegate us all into snow territory. We’ll have snow showers for much of the overnight hours, where most of the snow will be falling before we get to Sunday morning.

Snow showers will continue Sunday early on, before we get a break. That break should keep us rain or snow free until late Monday, when another front brings new chances of precipitation.

I know what you’re thinking. “How much snow are we going to get?” Well, to continue the old TV show puns, that’s the $64,000 question. The good thing about the warmth we’ve seen is that the ground is reasonably warm as well. So that’s surely going to dampen snowfall amounts this weekend.

Computer models are supposed to account for that, and it’s a weakness in some of them. I’ve looked at the three major ones, and they all agree that here in the Tri-Cities we could get anything from one inch of snow to six. Nice range, isn’t it? Goes from “eh, that’s not much” to a reasonably big deal.

It also appears that (excluding the mountains) the bigger numbers will happen in Tennessee this time, with smaller totals in southwest Virginia. Western North Carolina might see 8 inches of snow or more, since it’ll start earlier there, and it hasn’t been as warm. The National Weather Service is painting the most of the snow north of Interstate 40, with mostly rain south of that, or at least less snow.

After those 530 words of analysis, here’s my thinking on the matter right now. Be prepared for 1-3 inches of snow in the Tri-Cities through Sunday. I’d say at least 6 inches is likely in the North Carolina mountains, but as for southwest Virginia, 1-2″ looks like the best bet at this point.

Hopefully by next winter I’ll have maps for all of this. I’m definitely working on it! That said, I’ll have a new forecast tomorrow afternoon with and update, and then I’ll likely do another forecast Saturday at some point with a final forecast during the rain at the beginning or just as flakes start flying.

If you have to go on-location do change clocks for Daylight Saving Time Sunday morning, it might be best to just spend the night there. That’ll be right in the middle of the worst of it, and if the worst of it is more than a few inches, travel might be difficult. Technology will be your friend, for sure, and you’ve got tomorrow to work on it!

Thanks for checking here for the details of the crazy weather situation. I’ll have an update tomorrow!

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