May 24, 2018 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

May 24, 2018 Leave a comment

It’s a beautiful sunny day, with a lack of rain! Don’t get used to that, though, as scattered storms return to the forecast tomorrow and hang around at least in the afternoons and evenings for the rest of the forecast. Welcome to the newest Tri-Cities Weather Blog forecast through Memorial Day!

The cold front that went through yesterday is in the process of dying out across South Carolina, Georgia, and Alabama. It won’t return as a warm front, but instead we’ll see humidity returning. That will bring the rain and storms back to us as soon as tomorrow afternoon. Here’s the outlook:

  • Tonight-Partly cloudy, maybe a stray rain shower. Low 63.
  • Friday-Partly to mostly cloudy, scattered storms in the afternoon. High 84.
  • Friday night-A few evening showers/storms, otherwise partly cloudy. low 63.
  • Saturday-Partly cloudy, with scattered afternoon showers and storms. High 83.
  • Sunday-Mostly cloudy, showers and thunderstorms likely. High 82.
  • Monday-Mostly cloudy, showers and storms likely. High 82.

Our weather is more pleasant today than previous days this week, and will be more so than tomorrow, that’s for sure. Temperatures will stay about the same, but the amount of moisture will go up starting tomorrow. That is how we’ll get the increased chance of rain and storms through the weekend.

Keep in mind that there’s a chance of showers and storms each day, pretty much at any time. But the vast majority of the action will be late in the afternoon through early evening Friday and Saturday. Better chances of rain at any time are for Sunday at least, and maybe for Monday.

Monday is in question at this point because of the low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico I was talking about here yesterday. It’s still going to hit the Gulf Coast, but the question to be answered is where it hits and where it goes after that. Camps are split right now on whether it goes farther west and hangs around Mississippi for a while, or if part or all of it hits the Florida Gulf Coast and comes our way.

Either way, if you have plans for Memorial Day, keep the weather in mind. I’ll have a much clearer picture of whats going to happen this weekend, and barring any issues I’ll be able to produce a forecast sometime on Sunday. The computers we use for these forecasts are just too confused amongst each other on the weather for next week right now.

If you’re heading out for graduations tonight (which I’m doing in less than an hour), there are some clouds around, the 4 PM radar seems rather inactive. That’s good news whether the ceremony is outside or not! Keep an eye to the sky either way, and try to get indoors or to your car as soon as you can if you get rain or hear thunder.

Thanks for checking here for the forecast, have a great evening and Friday!

Categories: Daily Forecast

May 23, 2018 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

May 23, 2018 Leave a comment

A few scattered showers are around late this afternoon, and should continue for some into the evening. Less humid air comes in tonight and through tomorrow before rain chances return for Friday and the Memorial Day weekend. Welcome to the Tri-Cities Weather Blog forecast through Sunday!

Things are mostly quiet right now, after a few quick rain showers earlier this afternoon. A weak cold front just went through today, meaning less humid air returns. That won’t last long, as there won’t be much difference between the air that’s here now and the air that’s coming Friday. Here’s the outlook for the next four days:

  • Tonight-An evening rain shower or two, otherwise partly cloudy. Low 59.
  • Thursday-Perhaps some patchy morning fog, otherwise partly cloudy with a stray mountain thunderstorm. High 84.
  • Thursday night-Partly cloudy. Low 61.
  • Friday-Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered showers and storms developing. High 84.
  • Saturday-Scattered showers and thunderstorms likely. High 84.
  • Sunday-Cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 83.

In these forecasts, keep in mind that “scattered” generally means that some will get rain, some won’t and it will not rain all day most likely. Just remember to be prepared if a thunderstorm moves toward your location so you can get inside quickly!

That said, we shouldn’t see too much of that tonight through tomorrow night since we’re behind that cold front. The difference between air ahead of the front and behind it becomes nothing by Friday, indicating the end of the front. That also indicates that we’ll be back to summer-type weather, with lots of white, puffy clouds and some of those becoming big thunderstorms and rain makers. Friday looks like that, with better chances of more widespread rain for the weekend.

As for temperatures, we’ll stay about five or six degrees above average for highs, as we’ll stay generally in the low 80’s. Lows will be in the low 60’s after tonight, which is nearing ten degrees above average. It does feel like a summer pattern, which is setting up a bit early this year.

After the weekend, things get  cloudy. As in less certain! Low pressure will develop in the Gulf of Mexico Friday and Saturday, and start moving toward the Gulf Coast by Sunday. What happens after that is a wild guess at this point. If it moves farther east toward us, we could see lots of rain and perhaps flooding next week. If it goes farther west, not so much. I’ll keep a close eye on that system as it develops in the coming days.

Meanwhile, if you’re heading to a graduation ceremony in the next few days, Thursday looks like the better day to have it outside, while Friday events might need to be indoors. Be sure to check with the school you’re going to for whether they’ll be on the football field or the basketball gym (the most likely graduation locations around here). I know Sullivan East has already decided to have ceremonies in the gym for Thursday evening.

That’s a forecast a little longer than normal…but there’s a lot going on, especially with next week’s uncertainty. Thanks for reading it, and have a great Thursday!

Categories: Daily Forecast

May 22, 2018 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

May 22, 2018 Leave a comment

A few storms are popping up this afternoon east of the Tri-Cities, mainly in the mountains. A few heavy downpours are possible with storms through tonight, then we’ll have a temporary reprieve from humid conditions on Thursday. Welcome to the Tri-Cities Weather Blog forecast for tonight through the weekend!

Showers and an embedded thunderstorm or two are lined up from western Johnson County through Elizabethton to near Limestone this afternoon, and that’s about it so far. A cold front will bring the storms to an end when it passes through tomorrow, with more comfortable weather on the way before it all starts back up again for the weekend. Here’s the outlook:

  • Tonight-Partly to mostly cloudy, a few showers and storms. Low 62.
  • Wednesday-Partly cloudy, with a small chance of rain. High 83.
  • Wednesday night-Partly cloudy, less humid. Low 58.
  • Thursday-Mostly sunny. High 84.
  • Friday-Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered showers and storms. High 85.
  • Saturday-Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered showers and storms. High 83.
  • Sunday-Partly cloudy, off-and-on showers and storms. High 83.

A weak cold front makes its way through here tomorrow, before washing out completely to our south on Thursday. The front brings less humid weather and a little cooler temperatures after we get some showers and storms tonight and early Wednesday. Heavy rain is possible in spots, especially tonight.

After that, we’ll have lows in the 50s once again (our average this time of year is 53…we’ve been above that for a while), with a high Thursday in the mid 80’s with sunny skies. Humidity returns late in the week, with afternoon showers and storms returning to the forecast from Friday all the way through Sunday. The late Spring transition toward Summer continues.

Nothing severe is expected with all these storms, but when they do intensify quickly, gusty winds and hail are possible, and might trigger a severe thunderstorm warning or two. While you’re out the next few days–and a lot of people will be with graduations going on–just pay attention to the weather, and head indoors if you hear thunder or see lightning.

Thanks for checking here for the forecast! Have a great Wednesday!

Categories: Daily Forecast

May 21, 2018 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

May 21, 2018 Leave a comment

There have been a lot of storms moving through today, but the airport readings might not reflect that too much. Most of the action has been southwest of where official readings are kept, and due west as well, moving generally north. More storms are on the way tomorrow, before we settle into a summer pattern through Friday. Welcome to the Tri-Cities Weather Blog forecast for the rest of the week!

Our radio studios are located just over half a mile north (-ish) of the airport, and we’ve seen almost nothing but clouds, and we’re hearing rumbles of thunder. That said, radar estimates over an inch of rain in parts of Greene and Hawkins Counties, along with Scott County in Virginia. Nothing is severe with these storms, but rain could be heavy at times. The same is the case tomorrow. Here’s the outlook through the week:

  • Tonight-A few lingering showers and storms, then partly cloudy. Low 62.
  • Tuesday-Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered showers and storms. High 82.
  • Tuesday night-Partly cloudy, with evening showers and storms possible. Low 62.
  • Wednesday-Partly cloudy, a stray shower or thunderstorm. High 84.
  • Thursday-Partly to mostly sunny. High 85.
  • Friday-Partly to mostly sunny with an isolated shower or storm. High 86.

A weak cold front is going to get through here Wednesday, and that’s what will shut off chances of rain, more or less, toward midweek. Between now and then, expect off-and-on thunderstorms pretty much at any time, with the best chances being the rest of this afternoon and Tuesday afternoon as well.

Rain chances drop as we go through the day Wednesday, and we may not have anything pop up except in the mountains on Thursday. By the end of the week, we’ll be into the summer trend of a stray pop-up storm being a possibility in the heat of the day.

We’ll stay in the 80’s this week for highs, barring a lengthy amount of rain hitting anyone mainly tomorrow. That could keep a few folks in the upper 70’s. Overnight lows will be within a few degrees of 60 each night through Friday.

Thanks for checking here for the forecast! Click the Contact link if you have any questions, and they’ll go straight to me. I’d love to hear from you!

Categories: Daily Forecast

May 18, 2018 #TriCitiesWx Forecast

May 18, 2018 Leave a comment

The weekend is almost here! That’s the good news in the forecast. The rest of the forecast involves showers and storms that we’ll see off and on for the foreseeable future. Welcome to the Tri-Cities Weather Blog forecast through Tuesday!

As of around 4 PM, rain has almost stopped at our studios here in Blountville, after about an hour of pretty heavy rain at times. Western North Carolina has seen quite a bit of rain, and the Blacksburg National Weather Service office has Ashe and Watauga Counties in a Flash Flood Warning until 9:30 tonight. Storms are moving almost directly from south to north, and are going to be happening off and on for a while throughout the area thanks to a stationary front that’s parked right over Southwest Virginia. It appears that we’ll see off-and-on thunderstorms for a while. Here’s the outlook:

  • Tonight-Partly to mostly cloudy, with scattered showers and possible thunderstorms. Low 62.
  • Saturday-Mostly cloudy, with scattered showers and storms, most likely in the afternoon. High 82.
  • Saturday night-Partly cloudy, a few evening showers and storms. Low 63.
  • Sunday-Partly to mostly sunny, with only a small chance of rain. High 86.
  • Monday-Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and storms. Highs near 80.
  • Tuesday-Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 81.

That stationary front will wobble around near here until tomorrow night, bringing varying chances of rain and storms through that time. Eventually, the front will move north as a warm front, bringing a mostly dry day on Sunday.

Attached to the western end of that warm front is low pressure, dragging a cold front along with it. It’ll get close enough to us early next week to cause off-and-on showers and thunderstorms for at least Monday and Tuesday.

The hottest day in the forecast should be Sunday, but any day with a lack of clouds and storms will likely get up into the upper 80’s fairly quickly. Right now, that does look like it’s going to be Sunday for us. It’ll be quite humid throughout, and overnight lows probably won’t drop below 60 in the next four days.

Thanks for checking here for the forecast. I hope you have a fantastic weekend!

Categories: Daily Forecast
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